Crippled Bone planning.

[Hanzou]

Then we only need 2 more, if we want to go for it.

[Anjing Xia]

Very solid rolling so far.

Xia has an 91% chance of hitting the TN 25, an 86% chance of hitting it with one raise and around a 60% chance of hitting it with two raises? Thoughts? Are people feeling confident enough at hitting a TN 35 later to get that last raise if she only goes for one?

[Hanzou]

I'd play it safe and go for 1.

[Hanzou]

Alright. Who can hit TN 35?

If I cast Water Kami's Blessing (TN 20, 6k3), I roll 10k4 for Investigation, 10k5 with my last VP.

[Anjing Xia]

God speed to whoever wants to go for it.

[Ninube]

Alright. Who can hit TN 35?

If I cast Water Kami's Blessing (TN 20, 6k3), I roll 10k4 for Investigation, 10k5 with my last VP.

Wouldn't it be 10k5+5 since the roll 1 goes over 10?

[Hanzou]

I don't believe so. 12k5 would become 10k6, but 11k5 is just 10k5.

[Miyako]

Alright. Who can hit TN 35?

If I cast Water Kami's Blessing (TN 20, 6k3), I roll 10k4 for Investigation, 10k5 with my last VP.

I think you have a really good chance of pulling off above 35 with the VP spend. The question becomes whether one of us settles on a 30 and you clean up the 35 and we call it a day or if you secure the 35 on the 30+Raise and the rest of us try and take our shots at the final 35 and hope we all don't fail!

[Jin]

10k5 on a 35 is another approx 85% chance. If it succeeds you then have three tries to try and get the TN35 among all of you. As long as someone has a semi-decent shot at the final roll going for the raise makes sense.

If it fails, well you have two tries to get both without raises and just take the win. Still not bad odds.

But I leave it in the hands of those in the event.

[Hanzou]

Alright. I'll give it a shot. There's the spellcasting to consider, too. It might be better to do that on this roll.

[Togashi Nadare]

Yay, nice one Hanzou! So we need one last roll vs TN35?

My best is 8k5 with Void. I'm happy to try or pass to someone with a better pool

[Hanzou]

Yep

[Anjing Xia]

[Jin]

8k5 versus 35 is still around 75% so strong odds. If someone has better, great, but that's a good shot on its own.

[Togashi Nadare]

I got the powah.

[Togashi Saruko]

Wow! Good job, team!

[Anjing Xia]

Nice hustle everyone.

[Hanzou]

Woooo!

[Ninube]

Awesome job!

[Jin]

Great job everyone!